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El Tejar vs Amanecer

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2024 game between El Tejar and Amanecer finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
El Tejar
35%
Draws
46%
Amanecer
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Amanecer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amanecer come out ahead of El Tejar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Amanecer a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
El Tejar Clean Sheet 10%
Amanecer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric El Tejar Amanecer
Matches Played 6 8
Wins 0 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 4 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
El Tejar vs Amanecer
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Amanecer vs El Tejar
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

El Tejar 10 / 100
Amanecer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
El Tejar Amanecer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amanecer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amanecer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

El Tejar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Recent resilience: El Tejar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

El Tejar VS Amanecer
1.5 Goals Scored 2
4 Goals Conceded 2.38
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

El Tejar

(Home)
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
6 : 3
El Tejar
13 Sept
El Tejar
1 : 1
Amanecer
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Amanecer
5 : 2
El Tejar
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 2

Amanecer

(Away)
02 Nov
Amanecer
1 : 5
Petrolero de Yacuiba
06 Oct
Petrolero de Yacuiba
5 : 0
Amanecer
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
El Tejar
1 : 1
Amanecer
08 Sept
Amanecer
3 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDN Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Petrolero de Yacuiba 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Stormers SC 6 2 1 3 6:14 7
4 Millonarios 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 5 0 1 22:7 15
2 Amanecer 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
3 Ciclon 6 1 2 3 8:14 5
4 El Tejar 6 0 2 4 9:24 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Beni 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 Tiquipaya 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Moto Club 6 0 1 5 7:20 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
2 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
3 Fatic 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oruro Royal 6 4 0 2 15:16 12
2 Real Oruro 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Destroyers 6 1 3 2 9:8 6
4 Rio San Juan 6 0 3 3 8:14 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia del Balompie 6 3 2 1 19:11 11
2 3 de Febrero 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
4 Vaca Diez 6 0 2 4 3:16 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams