Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Elana Torun

1 - 1

Lipno Steszew

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Lipka F.

77'

Sikorski O.

89'

Kaptur H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Elana Torun and Lipno Steszew finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Elana Torun

Draws

90%

Lipno Steszew

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lipno Steszew come out ahead of Elana Torun on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Lipno Steszew taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%

Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Elana Torun	Lipno Steszew
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	11	15
Draws	8	4
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	0.88	1.88
Goals Conceded	3	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Elana Torun vs Lipno Steszew

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Lipno Steszew vs Elana Torun

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Sikorski O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaptur H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 10 / 100

Lipno Steszew 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Elana Torun Lipno Steszew

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elana Torun's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lipno Steszew has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Elana Torun has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS Lipno Steszew

0.88 Goals Scored 1.88

3 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15