Sport Picks
Elana Torun vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Sikorski O.
41'
41'
Roznowski M.
78'
78'
Szewczyk F.
AI Match Summary
Elana Torun in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elana Torun.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nowe Skalmierzyce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Elana Torun average 1.62 goals a game right now, well clear of Nowe Skalmierzyce's 1.1.
- Model gives Nowe Skalmierzyce a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Elana Torun have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elana Torun | Nowe Skalmierzyce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.34 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
3:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Elana Torun
0:0
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Elana Torun
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Elana Torun
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elana Torun Compare
Top Goalscorer Sikorski O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Roznowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67
Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare
Top Goalscorer Szewczyk F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elana Torun 10 / 100
Nowe Skalmierzyce 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elana Torun Nowe Skalmierzyce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nowe Skalmierzyce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elana Torun found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Nowe Skalmierzyce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Elana Torun has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Elana Torun VS Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.88 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 0.8
100% Over 1.5 60%
100% Over 2.5 40%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Elana Torun
(Home) 29 Aug
KKS Kalisz
5 : 1 Elana Torun
22 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Elana Torun
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
15 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 2 Elana Torun
08 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
08 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
01 Aug
Elana Torun
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
25 Jul
Elana Torun
6 : 1 Mustang Ostaszewo
18 Jul
Elana Torun
1 : 3 Czarni Pruszcz Gdansk
Page 1 of 4
Nowe Skalmierzyce
(Away) 10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 Apr
Luzino
4 : 3 Nowe Skalmierzyce
25 Apr
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 2 Nowe Skalmierzyce
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
