Sport Picks
Elana Torun vs Starogard Gdanski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 
Match Events
13'
13'
Gora M.
67'
67'
Koscielecki M.
75'
75'
Koscielecki M.
AI Match Summary
Elana Torun in this III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elana Torun.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elana Torun
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Elana Torun lately — more wins on the board than Starogard Gdanski.
- Win probability leans Elana Torun's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 68%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elana Torun | Starogard Gdanski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 1 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.95 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 2.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Starogard Gdanski
3:0
Nov 4, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Elana Torun
0:4
Mar 19, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Starogard Gdanski
0:3
Aug 18, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Elana Torun
4:3
May 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Elana Torun
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elana Torun Compare
Top Goalscorer Koscielecki M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gora M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Starogard Gdanski Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elana Torun 95 / 100
Starogard Gdanski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elana Torun Starogard Gdanski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elana Torun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elana Torun scored in 85% of their last 40 games.
Starogard Gdanski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Elana Torun went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Elana Torun VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Elana Torun
(Home) 03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1 Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1 Luzino
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2 Wda Swiecie
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
08 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 5
Starogard Gdanski
(Away) 21 Feb
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 1 Cartusia Kartuzy
28 Jan
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 4 Starogard Gdanski
08 Jun
Swinoujscie
2 : 1 Starogard Gdanski
30 May
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 2 Unia Solec Kujawski
25 May
Elana Torun
3 : 0 Starogard Gdanski
Page 1 of 6
28 Jan
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 4 Starogard Gdanski
08 Jun
Swinoujscie
2 : 1 Starogard Gdanski
25 May
Elana Torun
3 : 0 Starogard Gdanski
15 May
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Starogard Gdanski
04 May
Swit Szczecin
3 : 1 Starogard Gdanski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swit Szczecin | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 75:17 | 85 |
| 2 | Elana Torun | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 56:21 | 71 |
| 3 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 66:46 | 63 |
| 4 | Zawisza | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 73:38 | 58 |
| 5 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 80:62 | 55 |
| 6 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 73:63 | 50 |
| 7 | Gedania Gdansk | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 58:56 | 50 |
| 8 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 55:61 | 50 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 63:60 | 49 |
| 10 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 56:50 | 49 |
| 11 | Kleczew | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 59:65 | 48 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 45:60 | 46 |
| 13 | Vineta Wolin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:66 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 60:51 | 44 |
| 15 | Luzino | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 48:71 | 34 |
| 16 | Stolem Gniewino | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34:58 | 33 |
| 17 | Unia Solec Kujawski | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:80 | 25 |
| 18 | Starogard Gdanski | 34 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 39:97 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)
