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Elana Torun vs Start Warlubie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Elana Torun and Start Warlubie finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Elana Torun
22%
Draws
18%
Start Warlubie
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Elana Torun carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Elana Torun taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 20%
Start Warlubie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elana Torun Start Warlubie
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Start Warlubie vs Elana Torun
0:3
Nov 7, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Start Warlubie
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 58 / 100
Start Warlubie 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elana Torun Start Warlubie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Elana Torun found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Start Warlubie conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Start Warlubie lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Warta Poznan30188457:2462
2Pelikan Niechanowo30195660:2862
3Lech Poznan II30179469:2360
4Kleczew30158763:3053
5Jarocin30149747:2751
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol30156945:2851
7Wda Swiecie30147937:3749
8KKS Kalisz301361141:4145
9Elana Torun301351251:4144
10Unia Swarzedz301081239:5538
11Start Warlubie30981340:4535
12Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski30941739:6731
13Ostrovia Ostrow30851736:4829
14Nielba Wagrowiec30651932:6823
15Sparta Brodnica304101626:5522
16Kujawianka30332426:9112