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Elana Torun vs Tluchowo Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kaczmar M.
23' Event
Kaczmar M.
30' Event
Cabanski D.

AI Match Summary

Tluchowo in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tluchowo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Elana Torun
20%
Draws
51%
Tluchowo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tluchowo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Elana Torun average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of Tluchowo's 1.24.
  • Elana Torun are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elana Torun Tluchowo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Tluchowo
2:5
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Elana Torun
0:0
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Elana Torun vs Tluchowo
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabanski D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karbownik K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4

Tluchowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaczmar M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jarzebski E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 38 / 100
Tluchowo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elana Torun Tluchowo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elana Torun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tluchowo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Elana Torun found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Elana Torun remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS Tluchowo
2.25 Goals Scored 2.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Elana Torun

(Home)
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
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Tluchowo

(Away)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)