Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ciolak B.
50' Event
Karasiewicz W.
64' Event
Lukaszewski J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Elana Torun and Unia Swarzedz finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Elana Torun
17%
Draws
70%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Unia Swarzedz are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elana Torun Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz
0:4
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Elana Torun
0:1
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Elana Torun
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz
1:1
May 11, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Unia Swarzedz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elana Torun Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciolak B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karasiewicz W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elana Torun 14 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elana Torun Unia Swarzedz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elana Torun scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Unia Swarzedz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Elana Torun went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elana Torun VS Unia Swarzedz
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415