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Elassona vs AEP Kozanis

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023
Elassona Logo

Elassona

2 - 3
FT
AEP Kozanis Logo

AEP Kozanis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AEP Kozanis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEP Kozanis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Elassona
20%
Draws
47%
AEP Kozanis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEP Kozanis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Elassona have won more games recently than AEP Kozanis.
  • AEP Kozanis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Elassona have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Elassona Clean Sheet 20%
AEP Kozanis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elassona AEP Kozanis
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 13 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Elassona vs AEP Kozanis
2:3
Jan 15, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
AEP Kozanis vs Elassona
0:1
Sep 21, 2022 Greek Cup
AEP Kozanis vs Elassona
1:2
Sep 5, 2021 Greek Cup
AEP Kozanis vs Elassona
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elassona 10 / 100
AEP Kozanis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elassona AEP Kozanis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEP Kozanis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elassona found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

Defensive concern: AEP Kozanis conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Elassona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elassona VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elassona

(Home)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 8

AEP Kozanis

(Away)
30 Apr
Chaniotis
3 : 2
AEP Kozanis
23 Apr
AEP Kozanis
1 : 1
Kastoria
12 Apr
Agias
0 : 6
AEP Kozanis
08 Apr
AEP Kozanis
3 : 0
Edessaikos
02 Apr
Elassona
2 : 3
AEP Kozanis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kozani FC 26 16 9 1 53:16 57
2 Ethnikos Neou 26 11 9 6 35:25 42
3 Keravnos Anchelochori 26 12 6 8 47:25 42
4 Chaniotis 26 11 8 7 40:34 41
5 Pierikos 26 11 6 9 34:27 39
6 Svoronos FC 26 10 9 7 31:29 39
7 PAOK Kristonis 26 10 7 9 26:36 37
8 Kastoria 26 9 9 8 23:23 36
9 AEP Kozanis 26 10 5 11 40:39 35
10 Elassona 26 5 14 7 19:23 29
11 Edessaikos 26 7 7 12 25:35 28
12 Makedonikos Foufas 26 7 6 13 22:36 27
13 O. Volos 26 6 7 13 16:26 25
14 Agias 26 5 2 19 14:51 17
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)