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Elassona vs Asteras Stavrou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026
Elassona Logo

Elassona

2 - 1
FT
Asteras Stavrou Logo

Asteras Stavrou

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elassona in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elassona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Elassona
30%
Draws
16%
Asteras Stavrou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elassona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Elassona have won more games recently than Asteras Stavrou.
  • Elassona are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Elassona Clean Sheet 20%
Asteras Stavrou Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elassona Asteras Stavrou
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.19 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Asteras Stavrou
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Asteras Stavrou vs Elassona
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Asteras Stavrou
2:2
Aug 26, 2023 Greek Cup
Asteras Stavrou vs Elassona
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elassona 67 / 100
Asteras Stavrou 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elassona Asteras Stavrou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elassona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elassona's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Asteras Stavrou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Elassona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elassona VS Asteras Stavrou
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elassona

(Home)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 7

Asteras Stavrou

(Away)
27 Sept
Kifissos
3 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
08 Apr
Elassona
2 : 1
Asteras Stavrou
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Aris Filiaton
3 : 0
Asteras Stavrou
28 Mar
Asteras Stavrou
0 : 0
Lamia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elassona 27 13 13 3 30:21 46
2 Lamia 27 11 14 3 36:18 44
3 Aris Filiaton 27 13 9 7 32:22 42
4 AO Trikala 27 11 13 5 31:20 40
5 Asteras Stavrou 27 12 9 8 32:34 39
6 Tilikratis Lefkada 27 10 11 8 26:27 35
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs (Main)