Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elassona vs Ethnikos Neou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 game between Elassona and Ethnikos Neou finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elassona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Elassona
15%
Draws
59%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Elassona Clean Sheet 11%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elassona Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.28 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Elassona vs Ethnikos Neou
3:0
May 17, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Elassona vs Ethnikos Neou
2:3
May 3, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Ethnikos Neou vs Elassona
1:2
Apr 12, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Elassona
2:1
Jan 29, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Elassona vs Ethnikos Neou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elassona 35 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elassona Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Neou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elassona scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Ethnikos Neou has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Elassona has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elassona VS Ethnikos Neou
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elassona

(Home)
04 Oct
Ermis Exochis
3 : 1
Elassona
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 0
Feraios
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AO Trikala 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Anthoupoli 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Ermis Exochis 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Elassona 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Karitsa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Sarakinos Volos 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Pierikos 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Ethnikos Neou 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Feraios 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
10 Digenis Neochori 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
11 AE Iraklis Larissa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 (Losers stage)