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Elburton Villa vs Buckland

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Edwards L.
49' Event
Bush R.
50' Event
Bush R.

AI Match Summary

Elburton Villa in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elburton Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Elburton Villa
25%
Draws
35%
Buckland
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Elburton Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Elburton Villa average 4 goals a game right now, well clear of Buckland's 1.18.
  • Model gives Elburton Villa a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Elburton Villa Clean Sheet 10%
Buckland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elburton Villa Buckland
Matches Played 1 17
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 3
Losses 0 13
Goals Scored 4 1.18
Goals Conceded 3 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Elburton Villa vs Buckland
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elburton Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.74
Avg xA / game 1.78

Buckland Compare

Top Goalscorer Bush R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stockton O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elburton Villa 83 / 100
Buckland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elburton Villa Buckland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elburton Villa's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Defensive concern: Buckland conceded in 94% of 17 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Buckland lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elburton Villa VS Buckland
4 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elburton Villa

(Home)
25 Jul
Elburton Villa
4 : 3
Buckland

Buckland

(Away)
22 Jul
Buckland
2 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
12 Jul
Buckland
0 : 3
Torquay
30 Jul
Buckland
0 : 5
Yeovil
19 Jul
Buckland
1 : 2
Plymouth Parkway
12 Jul
Buckland
0 : 0
Torquay
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