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Eldense vs Novelda CF

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Eldense Logo

Eldense

2 - 0
FT
Novelda CF Logo

Novelda CF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 game between Eldense and Novelda CF finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eldense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Eldense
20%
Draws
40%
Novelda CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Eldense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Eldense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Eldense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Eldense Clean Sheet 68%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eldense Novelda CF
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Novelda CF
2:0
Oct 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Eldense
1:2
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Novelda CF
2:1
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Eldense
0:3
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Novelda CF
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eldense 59 / 100
Novelda CF 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eldense Novelda CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eldense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Eldense scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Novelda CF's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eldense VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eldense

(Home)
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
19 Sept
Eldense
1 : 2
Eibar
13 Sept
Gijon
0 : 1
Eldense
05 Sept
Eldense
0 : 0
Mallorca
29 Aug
Leganes
1 : 0
Eldense
Page 1 of 7

Novelda CF

(Away)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alzira 20 10 8 2 29:12 38
2 Roda 20 9 8 3 28:16 35
3 Atletico Saguntino 20 7 10 3 30:27 31
4 Villarreal C 20 6 12 2 32:18 30
5 Silla CF 20 5 10 5 20:21 25
6 Recambios Colon 20 5 8 7 16:19 23
7 Benicarlo 20 4 10 6 22:21 22
8 Torrent 20 4 9 7 17:25 21
9 Acero 20 4 8 8 18:25 20
10 Paterna 20 3 11 6 14:25 20
11 Vilamarxant 20 3 6 11 13:30 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 18 12 5 1 30:11 41
2 Ilicitano 18 11 5 2 33:17 38
3 CF Intercity 18 10 7 1 30:8 37
4 Olimpic Xativa 18 7 4 7 22:24 25
5 UD Beniganim 18 5 5 8 14:30 20
6 Espanol de San Vicente 18 5 4 9 17:23 19
7 Crevillente 18 5 4 9 17:24 19
8 Hercules B 18 4 6 8 13:17 18
9 Villajoyosa 18 4 5 9 17:27 17
10 Novelda CF 18 3 3 12 15:27 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)