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Eldense vs Ribarroja

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2013/2014 game between Eldense and Ribarroja finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eldense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Eldense
15%
Draws
42%
Ribarroja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eldense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ribarroja haven't matched Eldense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Eldense a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Eldense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Eldense Clean Sheet 20%
Ribarroja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eldense Ribarroja
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.68 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Ribarroja
3:1
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ribarroja vs Eldense
0:2
Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Ribarroja
1:0
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ribarroja vs Eldense
0:0
Mar 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Ribarroja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eldense 85 / 100
Ribarroja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eldense Ribarroja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eldense scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Ribarroja let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Ribarroja lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eldense VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eldense

(Home)
11 Aug
Eldense
3 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
07 Aug
Albacete
1 : 0
Eldense
04 Aug
Eldense
1 : 3
Villarreal B
01 Aug
Murcia
2 : 1
Eldense
25 Jul
Eldense
3 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
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Ribarroja

(Away)
17 May
Castellon
1 : 2
Ribarroja
03 May
Ontinyent
5 : 0
Ribarroja
26 Apr
Ribarroja
1 : 0
Levante B
22 Apr
Alzira
2 : 0
Ribarroja
19 Apr
Orihuela
1 : 0
Ribarroja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 21 8 9 61:34 71
2 Alzira 38 18 11 9 60:33 65
3 Orihuela 38 19 8 11 40:31 65
4 Paterna 38 17 12 9 46:36 63
5 Novelda CF 38 15 14 9 39:34 59
6 Muro 38 15 13 10 44:34 58
7 CF Cullera 38 14 15 9 46:37 57
8 La Nucia 38 14 13 11 40:40 55
9 Acero 38 15 7 16 56:49 52
10 Torrevieja 38 13 13 12 47:50 52
11 Atletico Saguntino 38 12 15 11 31:28 51
12 Espanol de San Vicente 38 13 11 14 40:37 50
13 Ribarroja 38 12 13 13 39:47 49
14 Villarreal C 38 13 9 16 52:51 48
15 Castellon 38 10 13 15 44:43 43
16 Torre Levante 38 10 11 17 37:49 41
17 Utiel 38 11 7 20 42:65 40
18 Borriol 38 8 13 17 29:43 37
19 CD Llosa 38 8 13 17 33:56 37
20 Pinoso 38 8 9 21 35:64 33
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)