Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2017/2018

Alcanenense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Electrico FC play Alcanenense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Electrico FC averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Alcanenense averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Electrico FC won 2, Alcanenense won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 11, 2018 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Electrico FC and 0.94 for Alcanenense. This points to a Alcanenense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Electrico FC

19%

Draws

43%

Alcanenense

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Alcanenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Electrico FC picked up more points recently compared to Alcanenense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Electrico FC Clean Sheet 24%

Alcanenense Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Electrico FC	Alcanenense
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	21	18
Goals Scored	1.24	1.03
Goals Conceded	2.47	1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Electrico FC vs Alcanenense

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Nov 5, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Alcanenense vs Electrico FC

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal

Alcanenense vs Electrico FC

Possession: 60% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Apr 19, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Electrico FC vs Alcanenense

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

3:2

Feb 22, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Alcanenense vs Electrico FC

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Electrico FC 39 / 100

Alcanenense 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Electrico FC Alcanenense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alcanenense or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Electrico FC attacking → ← attacking Alcanenense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Electrico FC scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Alcanenense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Electrico FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Alcanenense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 26

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mafra	30	21	6	3	61:21	69
2	Vilafranquense	30	18	9	3	53:20	63
3	SC Praiense	30	16	5	9	45:29	53
4	Torreense	30	13	9	8	48:33	48
5	Sacavenense	30	13	8	9	36:23	47
6	Fatima	30	12	9	9	49:38	45
7	Caldas SC	30	12	8	10	34:37	44
8	GS Loures	30	10	12	8	35:38	42
9	1º Dezembro	30	9	11	10	35:36	38
10	Sintrense	30	10	8	12	37:41	38
11	Pero Pinheiro	30	8	10	12	23:44	34
12	GD Coruchense	30	9	7	14	27:44	34
13	SC Lusitania	30	8	7	15	32:50	31
14	Alcanenense	30	8	5	17	32:46	29
15	Electrico FC	30	3	12	15	28:44	21
16	Guadalupe	30	4	6	20	26:57	18