Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Electrico FC vs Mortagua FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pais J.
(Penalty)
50'
Vitor S.
50'
Vitor S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Electrico FC and Mortagua FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Electrico FC
15%
Draws
65%
Mortagua FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Electrico FC haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
  • Mortagua FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 15%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Electrico FC Mortagua FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Electrico FC
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs Mortagua FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Electrico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer SIlva Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Artur Simionato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.85

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Electrico FC 11 / 100
Mortagua FC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Electrico FC Mortagua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mortagua FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Electrico FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mortagua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Electrico FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Electrico FC VS Mortagua FC
1.71 Goals Scored 0.5
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 13%
57% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Electrico FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
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Mortagua FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Leca
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Fazendense
30 Aug
Covilha
0 : 1
Mortagua FC
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)