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Electrico FC vs Mortagua FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pais J.
(Penalty)
50'
Vitor S.
50'
Vitor S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Electrico FC and Mortagua FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Electrico FC
40%
Draws
29%
Mortagua FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Electrico FC haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 10%
Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Electrico FC Mortagua FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Mortagua FC vs Electrico FC
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs Mortagua FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Electrico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer SIlva Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mortagua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Artur Simionato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Electrico FC 30 / 100
Mortagua FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Electrico FC Mortagua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Electrico FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mortagua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mortagua FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Electrico FC VS Mortagua FC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Electrico FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
Page 1 of 6

Mortagua FC

(Away)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Mortagua FC
04 Apr
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Os Marialvas
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Naval 1893
2 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)