Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Electrico FC vs Samora Correia

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pato P.
90' Event
SIlva Y.
Penalty Missed
90' Event
SIlva Y.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Electrico FC and Samora Correia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Electrico FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Electrico FC
15%
Draws
68%
Samora Correia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samora Correia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Samora Correia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Samora Correia a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Electrico FC Clean Sheet 10%
Samora Correia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Electrico FC Samora Correia
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Samora Correia vs Electrico FC
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Electrico FC vs Samora Correia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Electrico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer SIlva Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esporeta F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Samora Correia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pato P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Electrico FC 10 / 100
Samora Correia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Electrico FC Samora Correia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samora Correia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samora Correia has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Electrico FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Electrico FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Electrico FC VS Samora Correia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Electrico FC

(Home)
18 Apr
Mortagua FC
2 : 1
Electrico FC
12 Apr
Electrico FC
0 : 3
Fatima
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
15 Mar
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0
Electrico FC
Page 1 of 6

Samora Correia

(Away)
18 Apr
Samora Correia
4 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
12 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 2
Samora Correia
04 Apr
Samora Correia
2 : 1
Electrico FC
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2
GD Peniche
21 Mar
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Samora Correia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)