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Elfsborg vs Fredrikstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Skogvold H.
45' Event
Holme F.
63'
Sub
Mohammed R. In: Buhari I.
Out: Mohammed R.

AI Match Summary

Fredrikstad in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredrikstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Elfsborg
20%
Draws
38%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elfsborg lately — more wins on the board than Fredrikstad.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Elfsborg taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 18%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Fredrikstad
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Fredrikstad vs Elfsborg
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Fredrikstad
0:2
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Fredrikstad
0:0
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Fredrikstad
0:0
Jan 30, 2024 Atlantic Cup
Fredrikstad vs Elfsborg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elfsborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Skogvold H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holme F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 40 / 100
Fredrikstad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elfsborg scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Fredrikstad has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Elfsborg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Fredrikstad
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
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Fredrikstad

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
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