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Stadium Background

Elfsborg vs Mjallby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ostman L.
Assist: Hedlund S.
14'
Zeneli A.
15'
Kjaer J.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Elfsborg and Mjallby finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Elfsborg
20%
Draws
15%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Mjallby haven't matched Elfsborg's recent run of results.
  • Elfsborg are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 68%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Mjallby
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.26
Goals Conceded 1 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Elfsborg
0:1
May 21, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Elfsborg
2:0
Jun 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Mjallby
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elfsborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ostman L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjaer J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 86 / 100
Mjallby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mjallby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Elfsborg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Mjallby
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
06 Sept
Brommapojkarna
2 : 1
Elfsborg
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
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Mjallby

(Away)
06 Oct
Trollhattan
1 : 0
Mjallby
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)