Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elfsborg vs Sirius

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Wikstrom R.
21' Event
Bjerkebo I.
Penalty Missed
24'
Holmen S.

AI Match Summary

Sirius in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sirius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Elfsborg
20%
Draws
19%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elfsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Elfsborg haven't matched Sirius's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Elfsborg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sirius here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 12%
Sirius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elfsborg Sirius
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.55 2.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Sirius
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Elfsborg vs Sirius
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Elfsborg
4:0
Apr 23, 2025 Allsvenskan
Elfsborg vs Sirius
4:3
Oct 6, 2024 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Elfsborg
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elfsborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Ure R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soumah M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elfsborg 83 / 100
Sirius 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elfsborg Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elfsborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elfsborg's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Elfsborg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sirius has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elfsborg VS Sirius
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elfsborg

(Home)
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1
Elfsborg
18 Aug
Frolunda
0 : 4
Elfsborg
14 Aug
Elfsborg
3 : 0
Vasteras SK
08 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1
Elfsborg
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Sirius

(Away)
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Aug
Friska Viljor
0 : 2
Sirius
21 Aug
Sirius
0 : 3
Hacken
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
10 Aug
Sirius
2 : 2
Brommapojkarna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 19 13 3 3 47:27 42
2 Hammarby 19 11 3 5 44:18 36
3 Djurgarden 18 10 2 6 41:19 32
4 Elfsborg 19 8 7 4 27:19 31
5 Hacken 19 8 7 4 33:29 31
6 AIK 18 9 4 5 28:27 31
7 Malmo FF 19 9 2 8 33:30 29
8 Vasteras SK 19 8 5 6 28:33 29
9 GAIS 19 7 5 7 25:18 26
10 Brommapojkarna 19 6 6 7 27:31 24
11 IFK Goteborg 19 6 5 8 24:39 23
12 Mjallby 17 5 5 7 24:27 20
13 Kalmar 19 5 4 10 21:29 19
14 Degerfors 19 4 4 11 17:31 16
15 Orgryte 19 3 5 11 22:42 14
16 Halmstad 19 2 5 12 13:35 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)