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Elgeco Plus vs Kaizer Chiefs

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Ekstein H.
82' Event
Moon R.
86' Event
Ekstein H.

AI Match Summary

Kaizer Chiefs in this CAF Confederation Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Elgeco Plus
35%
Draws
41%
Kaizer Chiefs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kaizer Chiefs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Kaizer Chiefs have won more games recently than Elgeco Plus.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Kaizer Chiefs arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaizer Chiefs, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elgeco Plus Clean Sheet 18%
Kaizer Chiefs Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgeco Plus Kaizer Chiefs
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 4 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
Elgeco Plus vs Kaizer Chiefs
0:3
Dec 15, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
Kaizer Chiefs vs Elgeco Plus
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgeco Plus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Kaizer Chiefs Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekstein H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moon R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgeco Plus 32 / 100
Kaizer Chiefs 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgeco Plus Kaizer Chiefs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaizer Chiefs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgeco Plus's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Kaizer Chiefs let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Elgeco Plus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaizer Chiefs
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgeco Plus

(Home)
27 Sept
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Sept
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
25 Aug
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
27 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 3
Gaborone Utd
Page 1 of 4

Kaizer Chiefs

(Away)
20 Sept
Golden Arrows
0 : 0
Kaizer Chiefs
12 Sept
Polokwane City
1 : 1
Kaizer Chiefs
06 Sept
Kaizer Chiefs
3 : 2
Siwelele
26 Aug
Richards Bay
2 : 2
Kaizer Chiefs
15 Aug
Kaizer Chiefs
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
TBD -
Vital'O 1
New Star 4
Al Ahly Benghazi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Green Eagles 5
Young Buffaloes 2
Diables Noirs 1
Hussein Dey 3
Al-Hilal Omdurman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hilal El Obied -
TBD -
Free State Stars 0
Mukura Victory Sports 1
Nkana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motema Pembe 5
Anges Fatima 2
Armed Forces 1
San Pedro 2
Cotonsport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kariobangi Sharks 9
AS Arta 1
Eding Sport -
Asante Kotoko -
Zesco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elgeco Plus 4
Unidad Malabo 3
Zimamoto 2
Kaizer Chiefs 5
Stade Malien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyuki 2
Ahli Shendi 1
Orapa United 0
Petro Atletico 6
African Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cercle Mberi Sportif 2
Silver Strikers 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Vipers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Green Buffaloes FC 2
Al Merreikh Juba 0
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
IR Tanger -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CotonTchad 3
Gomido 1
TBD -
Zamalek -
Otoho d'Oyo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtibwa Sugar 5
Northern Dynamo 0
TBD -
Kampala City -
Bantu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bel Abbes 4
Liberia Registry 1
Mechal SC 1
Rangers International 5
Al Nasr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Masry -
TBD -
Wakriya AC 3
Salitas 3
Jimma Aba Jifar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Foot 1
Djoliba 0
AS Garde Nationale 0
Hassania Agadir 4
ASC Jaraaf -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al-Ittihad 8
Miracle Club 0
TBD -
Berkane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Mahia -
TBD -
Al Ahly Tripoli 1
New Star 1
Al Ahly Benghazi -
TBD -
Green Eagles 1
Hussein Dey 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman -
TBD -
Hilal El Obied 0
Mukura Victory Sports 1
Nkana -
TBD -
Motema Pembe 1
San Pedro 3
Cotonsport -
TBD -
Kariobangi Sharks 1
Asante Kotoko 2
Zesco -
TBD -
Elgeco Plus 0
Kaizer Chiefs 6
Stade Malien -
TBD -
Nyuki 0
Petro Atletico 2
African Stars -
TBD -
Cercle Mberi Sportif 1
Raja Casablanca 5
Vipers -
TBD -
Green Buffaloes FC 2
CS Sfaxien 4
IR Tanger -
TBD -
CotonTchad 2
Zamalek 7
Otoho d'Oyo -
TBD -
Mtibwa Sugar 1
Kampala City 5
Bantu -
TBD -
Bel Abbes 0
Rangers International 2
Al Nasr -
TBD -
Al Masry 0
Salitas 2
Jimma Aba Jifar -
TBD -
Generation Foot 1
Hassania Agadir 2
ASC Jaraaf -
TBD -
Al-Ittihad 0
Berkane 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Mahia 2
New Star 1
Al Ahly Benghazi 2
Hussein Dey 3
Al-Hilal Omdurman 3
Mukura Victory Sports 1
Nkana 3
San Pedro 0
Cotonsport 3
Asante Kotoko 5
Zesco 5
Kaizer Chiefs 2
Stade Malien 2
Petro Atletico 3
African Stars 1
Raja Casablanca 2
Vipers 0
CS Sfaxien 3
IR Tanger 1
Zamalek 3
Otoho d'Oyo 3
Kampala City 2
Bantu 2
Rangers International 4
Al Nasr 2
Salitas 3
Jimma Aba Jifar 0
Hassania Agadir 5
ASC Jaraaf 3
Berkane 5
TBD -
TBD -