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Elgin City vs Aberdeen B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Borough Briggs, Elgin
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Elgin City have averaged 2.09 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Aberdeen B's 1.7 scored and 2.22 conceded. Past meetings favor Elgin City slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.10 vs 1.40, favoring Elgin City. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Elgin City
15%
Draws
37%
Aberdeen B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Elgin City have won more games recently than Aberdeen B.
  • Model gives Elgin City a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Elgin City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 17%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgin City Aberdeen B
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.09 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Aberdeen B
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 39 / 100
Aberdeen B 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgin City Aberdeen B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgin City's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Aberdeen B let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Elgin City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Aberdeen B
2.88 Goals Scored 1.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgin City

(Home)
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2
Clyde
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1
Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0
Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
Page 1 of 7

Aberdeen B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
22 Sept
Banks O' Dee
2 : 1
Aberdeen B
08 Sept
Ross County
3 : 4
Aberdeen B
25 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Aberdeen B
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Aberdeen B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
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