Sport Picks
Elgin City vs Dundee Utd B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Borough Briggs, Elgin 
Match Events
26'
26'
Walker J.
45'
45'
Hester K.
Assist: Gavin D.
51'
51'
Forrest J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Elgin City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Elgin City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Elgin City's way, sitting at 90%.
- Elgin City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Elgin City, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 20%
Dundee Utd B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgin City | Dundee Utd B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 17 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2025 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Dundee Utd B
3:1
Aug 9, 2022 Challenge Cup
Elgin City vs Dundee Utd B
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Elgin City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hester K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Walker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Dundee Utd B Compare
Top Goalscorer Forrest J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elgin City 85 / 100
Dundee Utd B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elgin City Dundee Utd B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Elgin City scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Dundee Utd B conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: Elgin City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Elgin City VS Dundee Utd B
2.75 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Elgin City
(Home) 03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
26 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 1 Elgin City
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0 Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0 Elgin City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Elgin City
6 : 2 Clyde
22 Sept
Elgin City
3 : 0 Dundee FC B
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5 Stranraer
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0 Fraserburgh
29 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 0 Stirling
Page 1 of 4
Dundee Utd B
(Away) 26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1 Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Dundee Utd B
08 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 3 Dundee Utd B
25 Aug
Cove Rangers
2 : 0 Dundee Utd B
11 Aug
Clachnacuddin
5 : 0 Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1 Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Dundee Utd B
08 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 3 Dundee Utd B
25 Aug
Cove Rangers
2 : 0 Dundee Utd B
11 Aug
Clachnacuddin
5 : 0 Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
