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Stadium Background

Elgin City vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Borough Briggs, Elgin
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Girvan K.
Assist: MacIver J.
46'
Sub
Grant M. In: Virtanen M.
Out: Grant M.
46'
Sub
Willox K. In: Booth L.
Out: Willox K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Elgin City
15%
Draws
37%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elgin City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Peterhead lately — more wins on the board than Elgin City.
  • Win probability leans Elgin City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Peterhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Elgin City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Elgin City Clean Sheet 17%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgin City Peterhead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup
Elgin City vs Peterhead
1:3
Sep 23, 2025 Challenge Cup
Peterhead vs Elgin City
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 League Two
Elgin City vs Peterhead
4:0
Mar 1, 2025 League Two
Peterhead vs Elgin City
2:0
Dec 28, 2024 League Two
Elgin City vs Peterhead
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elgin City Compare

Top Goalscorer Girvan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerr J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGinn N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgin City 84 / 100
Peterhead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgin City Peterhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgin City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Peterhead conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Elgin City scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Elgin City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elgin City VS Peterhead
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgin City

(Home)
12 Sept
Annan
2 : 0
Elgin City
08 Sept
Elgin City
7 : 0
Fraserburgh
05 Sept
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Elgin City
29 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 0
Stirling
25 Aug
Clachnacuddin
0 : 2
Elgin City
Page 1 of 6

Peterhead

(Away)
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
08 Sept
Peterhead
2 : 1
Clachnacuddin
05 Sept
Peterhead
0 : 3
Montrose
29 Aug
Alloa
1 : 1
Peterhead
25 Aug
Peterhead
2 : 1
Dundee FC B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams