Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Elgoibar and Basconia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elgoibar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Elgoibar haven't matched Basconia's recent run of results.
- Basconia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgoibar | Basconia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basconia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Elgoibar found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).
Elgoibar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Elgoibar
(Home)Basconia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 62:34 | 81 |
| 2 | Portugalete | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 67:38 | 70 |
| 3 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 67:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Basconia | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 77:49 | 67 |
| 5 | Alaves B | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 54:33 | 62 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:45 | 60 |
| 7 | Gernika Club | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 43:29 | 59 |
| 8 | Zamudio | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:48 | 56 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 45:59 | 52 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 37:40 | 48 |
| 12 | SCD Durango | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 52:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:48 | 46 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 34:46 | 45 |
| 15 | Oiartzun | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:61 | 44 |
| 16 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 31:45 | 42 |
| 17 | Bermeo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 18 | Elgoibar | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 26:48 | 35 |
| 19 | Sodupe | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 36:65 | 25 |
| 20 | Retuerto Sport | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 21:62 | 25 |
