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Elgoibar vs Baskonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

Elgoibar in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elgoibar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Elgoibar
35%
Draws
46%
Baskonia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Baskonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Baskonia have won more games recently than Elgoibar.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Baskonia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 20%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgoibar Baskonia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.72 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Elgoibar
2:1
Oct 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Baskonia
1:0
Jan 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Baskonia
2:0
Aug 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Elgoibar
1:1
Apr 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Elgoibar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgoibar 24 / 100
Baskonia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgoibar Baskonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baskonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baskonia let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Elgoibar's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Elgoibar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elgoibar VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgoibar

(Home)
15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5
Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0
Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1
Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1
Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 7

Baskonia

(Away)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)