Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 game between Elgoibar and Laudio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Laudio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Elgoibar have managed 0.7 goals a game lately — Laudio are scoring more at 1.07.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Laudio have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 19%
Laudio Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elgoibar | Laudio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Laudio
1:1
Nov 24, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Laudio vs Elgoibar
2:0
Feb 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Laudio vs Elgoibar
2:1
Oct 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Laudio
0:3
May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Laudio
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elgoibar 32 / 100
Laudio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elgoibar Laudio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Laudio conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Difficult form: Laudio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Elgoibar scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Elgoibar VS Laudio
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Elgoibar
(Home) 15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5 Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0 Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1 Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1 Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Santutxu FC
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15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5 Real Sociedad
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1 Bermeo
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Santutxu FC
05 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0 Leioa
15 Mar
Elgoibar
2 : 1 Amurrio Club
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Laudio
(Away) 11 May
Laudio
0 : 2 Toledo
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0 Laudio
26 Apr
Laudio
2 : 2 Tudelano
20 Apr
Getafe B
2 : 0 Laudio
12 Apr
Laudio
2 : 0 Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0 Laudio
20 Apr
Getafe B
2 : 0 Laudio
06 Apr
Atl. Madrid B
3 : 1 Laudio
22 Mar
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1 Laudio
09 Mar
Conquense
3 : 0 Laudio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laudio | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 65:29 | 81 |
| 2 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 54:24 | 78 |
| 3 | Portugalete | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 75:38 | 73 |
| 4 | Leioa | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 43:28 | 71 |
| 5 | Gernika Club | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 58:31 | 69 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 51:36 | 67 |
| 7 | Bermeo | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 39:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Zamudio | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 41:52 | 47 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 36:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Basconia | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43:64 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves B | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:48 | 43 |
| 15 | Elgoibar | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 35:42 | 43 |
| 16 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 17 | Balmaseda | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 18 | Deportivo Getxo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 34:49 | 39 |
| 19 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Anaitasuna FT | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 35:61 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
