Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elgoibar vs Oiartzun

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
Elgoibar Logo

Elgoibar

0 - 0
FT
Oiartzun Logo

Oiartzun

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Elgoibar and Oiartzun finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Elgoibar
35%
Draws
46%
Oiartzun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oiartzun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elgoibar come out ahead of Oiartzun on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Oiartzun taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 10%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elgoibar Oiartzun
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.7 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Oiartzun
0:0
Sep 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Elgoibar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elgoibar 22 / 100
Oiartzun 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elgoibar Oiartzun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oiartzun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oiartzun has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Elgoibar scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Elgoibar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elgoibar VS Oiartzun
0 Goals Scored 0.5
5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elgoibar

(Home)
15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5
Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0
Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1
Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1
Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6

Oiartzun

(Away)
16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2
Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0
Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0
Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1
Balmaseda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 38 24 9 5 62:34 81
2 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 67:38 70
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 9 9 67:39 69
4 Basconia 38 19 10 9 77:49 67
5 Alaves B 38 17 11 10 54:33 62
6 Zalla UC 38 16 12 10 55:45 60
7 Gernika Club 38 15 14 9 43:29 59
8 Zamudio 38 15 11 12 64:48 56
9 Balmaseda 38 14 13 11 45:40 55
10 Beasain 38 14 10 14 45:59 52
11 Santutxu FC 38 9 21 8 37:40 48
12 SCD Durango 38 13 9 16 52:57 48
13 Pasaia 38 12 10 16 39:48 46
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 34:46 45
15 Oiartzun 38 11 11 16 40:61 44
16 Amurrio Club 38 11 9 18 31:45 42
17 Bermeo 38 9 12 17 37:46 39
18 Elgoibar 38 7 14 17 26:48 35
19 Sodupe 38 5 10 23 36:65 25
20 Retuerto Sport 38 5 10 23 21:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)