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Ellas Syrou vs Panionios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026 Dimotiko Stadio Ermoupolis, Ermoupoli
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Match Events

5' Event
Provydakis K.
39' Event
Morsay J.
82' Event
Voilis A.

AI Match Summary

Panionios in this Super League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panionios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ellas Syrou
35%
Draws
34%
Panionios
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Ellas Syrou haven't matched Panionios's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ellas Syrou a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ellas Syrou Clean Sheet 68%
Panionios Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellas Syrou Panionios
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Super League 2
Panionios vs Ellas Syrou
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Super League 2
Ellas Syrou vs Panionios
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ellas Syrou Compare

Top Goalscorer Provydakis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Panionios Compare

Top Goalscorer Morsay J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Voilis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellas Syrou 68 / 100
Panionios 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellas Syrou Panionios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellas Syrou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ellas Syrou remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ellas Syrou's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Panionios's defensive record shows goals conceded in 31% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ellas Syrou VS Panionios
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellas Syrou

(Home)
05 Oct
PAOK B
0 : 0
Ellas Syrou
27 Sept
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Pyrgos
19 Sept
Zakynthos
1 : 4
Ellas Syrou
13 Sept
Ellas Syrou
3 : 0
Karditsa
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
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Panionios

(Away)
04 Oct
Pyrgos
2 : 0
Panionios
27 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Zakynthos
19 Sept
Karditsa
0 : 0
Panionios
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
06 Sept
Panionios
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)