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Ellerton FC vs BDF Sport Programm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Barbados Barbados

Premier League 2023
Sat, Aug 12, 2023
3 - 0
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ellerton FC host BDF Sport Programm in the Premier League 2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ellerton FC at 2.46 goals for, 1.23 against; BDF Sport Programm at 1.43 for, 2.77 against. Past meetings favor Ellerton FC slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.29 - 0.81) back Ellerton FC to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ellerton FC
15%
Draws
0%
BDF Sport Programm
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellerton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ellerton FC lately — more wins on the board than BDF Sport Programm.
  • Ellerton FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 20%
BDF Sport Programm Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellerton FC BDF Sport Programm
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 23 8
Draws 11 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.46 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs BDF Sport Programm
3:0
Apr 14, 2023 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs BDF Sport Programm
2:1
Feb 2, 2020 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs BDF Sport Programm
3:3
Mar 11, 2019 Premier League
BDF Sport Programm vs Ellerton FC
1:0
Nov 4, 2018 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs BDF Sport Programm
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellerton FC 85 / 100
BDF Sport Programm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellerton FC BDF Sport Programm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellerton FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellerton FC found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (39 games).

BDF Sport Programm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Away concern: BDF Sport Programm has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ellerton FC VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellerton FC

(Home)
28 May
Brittons Hill United
1 : 2
Ellerton FC
20 May
Ellerton FC
2 : 1
Paradise SC
12 May
St Andrew Lions
1 : 3
Ellerton FC
04 May
Ellerton FC
1 : 2
Weymouth Wales
27 Apr
Ellerton FC
1 : 1
Bagatelle SSC
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BDF Sport Programm

(Away)
18 Aug
Notre Dame
8 : 2
BDF Sport Programm
16 Aug
Paradise SC
5 : 0
BDF Sport Programm
12 Aug
Ellerton FC
3 : 0
BDF Sport Programm
08 Aug
Weymouth Wales
8 : 4
BDF Sport Programm
26 Jul
BDF Sport Programm
1 : 4
Deacons
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