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Ellerton FC vs St Andrew Lions

Barbados Barbados

Premier League 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023 game between Ellerton FC and St Andrew Lions finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ellerton FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ellerton FC
15%
Draws
20%
St Andrew Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellerton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ellerton FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ellerton FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 20%
St Andrew Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellerton FC St Andrew Lions
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.16 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
1:3
Feb 24, 2026 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
1:4
Jul 23, 2023 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs St Andrew Lions
4:1
Apr 5, 2023 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs St Andrew Lions
3:3
Feb 29, 2020 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellerton FC 85 / 100
St Andrew Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellerton FC St Andrew Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellerton FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellerton FC found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

St Andrew Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ellerton FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ellerton FC VS St Andrew Lions
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellerton FC

(Home)
28 May
Brittons Hill United
1 : 2
Ellerton FC
20 May
Ellerton FC
2 : 1
Paradise SC
12 May
St Andrew Lions
1 : 3
Ellerton FC
04 May
Ellerton FC
1 : 2
Weymouth Wales
27 Apr
Ellerton FC
1 : 1
Bagatelle SSC
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St Andrew Lions

(Away)
26 May
UWI Blackbirds
2 : 3
St Andrew Lions
17 May
Kickstart
23 : 0
St Andrew Lions
12 May
St Andrew Lions
1 : 3
Ellerton FC
05 May
Brittons Hill United
4 : 1
St Andrew Lions
25 Apr
St Andrew Lions
1 : 7
Paradise SC
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