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Ellerton FC vs Weymouth Wales

Barbados Barbados

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ellerton FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellerton FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ellerton FC
15%
Draws
46%
Weymouth Wales
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weymouth Wales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Weymouth Wales have won more games recently than Ellerton FC.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ellerton FC taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Weymouth Wales have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 10%
Weymouth Wales Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellerton FC Weymouth Wales
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 17 27
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.03 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Weymouth Wales
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Weymouth Wales
1:0
Mar 24, 2025 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Weymouth Wales
2:4
Jan 20, 2025 Premier League
Weymouth Wales vs Ellerton FC
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Premier League
Weymouth Wales vs Ellerton FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellerton FC 34 / 100
Weymouth Wales 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellerton FC Weymouth Wales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellerton FC's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Weymouth Wales let in goals in 74% of their last 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ellerton FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ellerton FC VS Weymouth Wales
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ellerton FC

(Home)
28 May
Brittons Hill United
1 : 2
Ellerton FC
20 May
Ellerton FC
2 : 1
Paradise SC
12 May
St Andrew Lions
1 : 3
Ellerton FC
04 May
Ellerton FC
1 : 2
Weymouth Wales
27 Apr
Ellerton FC
1 : 1
Bagatelle SSC
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Weymouth Wales

(Away)
28 Jul
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Weymouth Wales
25 Jul
Britannia
1 : 2
Weymouth Wales
29 May
Pride of Gall Hill
1 : 2
Weymouth Wales
25 May
Kickstart
0 : 1
Weymouth Wales
18 May
Weymouth Wales
1 : 0
UWI Blackbirds
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