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Ellerton FC vs Weymouth Wales

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Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ellerton FC and Weymouth Wales finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Weymouth Wales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ellerton FC
44%
Draws
20%
Weymouth Wales
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Weymouth Wales carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Weymouth Wales have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 16%
Weymouth Wales Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ellerton FC Weymouth Wales
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 16 26
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Weymouth Wales
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Weymouth Wales
1:0
Mar 24, 2025 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs Weymouth Wales
2:4
Jan 20, 2025 Premier League
Weymouth Wales vs Ellerton FC
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Premier League
Weymouth Wales vs Ellerton FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ellerton FC 36 / 100
Weymouth Wales 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ellerton FC Weymouth Wales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ellerton FC's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Weymouth Wales's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Ellerton FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ellerton FC VS Weymouth Wales
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%