Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2016 game between Elosport and Santacruzense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santacruzense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Elosport haven't matched Santacruzense's recent run of results.
- Santacruzense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Paulista A4 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Santacruzense have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Elosport Clean Sheet 19%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elosport | Santacruzense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 19 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 2, 2019 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Santacruzense
1:6
Apr 21, 2019 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Elosport
3:0
Jul 10, 2016 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Santacruzense
1:1
May 22, 2016 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Elosport
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Elosport 28 / 100
Santacruzense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Elosport Santacruzense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santacruzense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Santacruzense has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.
Elosport scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Elosport went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Santacruzense
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Elosport
(Home) 14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2 Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2 Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2 Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2 Elosport
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14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2 Independente SP
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2 Uniao Barbarense
25 Oct
Elosport
0 : 4 Rio Branco SP
18 Oct
Elosport
0 : 3 AA Itarare
23 Jun
Elosport
0 : 1 Vocem
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Santacruzense
(Away) 04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
Page 1 of 7
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
16 May
Sao Carlos
1 : 1 Santacruzense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 36:6 | 32 |
| 2 | Vocem | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Santacruzense | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Tupa | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Elosport | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:20 | 15 |
| 6 | Assisense | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:29 | 12 |
| 7 | Osvaldo Cruz | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13:39 | 6 |
| 8 | Presidente Prudente | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13:36 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 29:10 | 31 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 25 |
| 3 | Tanabi | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:20 | 22 |
| 4 | Bandeirante | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:28 | 21 |
| 5 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 24:26 | 17 |
| 6 | America SP | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 7 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 8 | AEA Aracatuba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 18:33 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diadema | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Desportivo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Taboao da Serra | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 35:20 | 26 |
| 4 | SKA Brasil | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 5 | CA Lemense | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 18 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7:26 | 12 |
| 7 | Amparo SP | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17:29 | 10 |
| 8 | Palmeirinha SP | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 10:36 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 31:9 | 32 |
| 2 | Mauaense | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Guarulhos | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 31:24 | 25 |
| 4 | Jabaquara | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 5 | EC Sao Bernardo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26:22 | 20 |
| 6 | Manthiqueira | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 7 | Uniao Mogi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9:33 | 8 |
| 8 | Atletico Mogi | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6:32 | 7 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)
