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Elosport vs Sumare

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Elosport Logo

Elosport

0 - 1
FT
Sumare Logo

Sumare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sumare in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sumare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Elosport
30%
Draws
23%
Sumare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elosport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Elosport have won more games recently than Sumare.
  • Elosport are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Elosport Clean Sheet 15%
Sumare Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elosport Sumare
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.94 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2014 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Elosport
1:0
Apr 20, 2014 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Sumare
2:2
Jun 10, 2012 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Sumare
1:1
May 5, 2012 Paulista A4
Sumare vs Elosport
1:0
Jul 31, 2011 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Sumare
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elosport 39 / 100
Sumare 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elosport Sumare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elosport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sumare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Sumare registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Elosport scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Elosport VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elosport

(Home)
14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2
Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2
Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2
Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2
Elosport
Page 1 of 7

Sumare

(Away)
21 Sept
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Sumare
17 Sept
Sumare
1 : 5
Lemense
14 Sept
Sumare
1 : 1
Manthiqueira
07 Sept
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Sumare
03 Sept
Lemense
3 : 1
Sumare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Votuporanguense 12 5 5 2 17:14 20
2 Bandeirante 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
3 Fernandopolis 12 5 4 3 14:7 19
4 Tupa 12 4 5 3 12:13 17
5 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 3 5 4 13:12 14
6 Tanabi 12 2 5 5 8:13 11
7 Assisense 12 3 1 8 9:21 10
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barretos EC 12 7 5 0 25:12 26
2 Guariba 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
3 Ole Brasil 12 7 0 5 20:17 21
4 Olimpia FC 12 5 3 4 19:12 18
5 Jaboticabal Atletico 12 5 3 4 26:22 18
6 Americo EC 12 2 1 9 21:31 7
7 Matonense 12 1 2 9 7:36 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 2 0 17:3 26
2 Palmeirinha SP 10 5 4 1 17:6 19
3 Guacuano 10 5 3 2 11:7 18
4 Brasilis 10 4 2 4 16:12 14
5 Sao Judas Tadeu 10 1 1 8 9:18 4
6 Lencoense 10 1 0 9 9:33 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo 14 9 1 4 26:16 28
2 Sumare 14 7 4 3 18:13 25
3 Cotia 14 6 5 3 27:23 23
4 Capivariano 14 5 6 3 30:20 21
5 Primavera EC 14 5 5 4 17:15 20
6 SKA Brasil 14 5 3 6 18:18 18
7 Lemense 14 4 2 8 16:30 14
8 Elosport 14 1 2 11 12:29 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarulhos 14 10 0 4 27:16 30
2 Jacarei (Inactive) 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 FC Primeira Camisa 14 6 6 2 25:13 24
4 ECUS SP 14 6 2 6 12:15 20
5 Uniao Suzano 14 5 4 5 21:18 19
6 Jacarei FC 14 5 3 6 14:18 18
7 Manthiqueira 14 2 4 8 10:22 10
8 Uniao Mogi 14 2 2 10 13:28 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 14 10 1 3 21:7 31
2 Sao Vicente 14 9 2 3 29:19 29
3 EC Sao Bernardo 14 8 2 4 26:14 26
4 Guaruja 14 7 2 5 19:16 23
5 Mauaense 14 6 4 4 27:17 22
6 Jabaquara 14 7 0 7 21:24 21
7 Nacional SP 14 1 2 11 16:32 5
8 Palestra 14 1 1 12 8:38 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)