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Eltersdorf vs Amberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018
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Match Events

3' Event
14' Event
36' Event

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 game between Eltersdorf and Amberg finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eltersdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Eltersdorf
15%
Draws
0%
Amberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eltersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Eltersdorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Eltersdorf a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 68%
Amberg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eltersdorf Amberg
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.62 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Eltersdorf vs Amberg
8:1
Aug 26, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Amberg vs Eltersdorf
1:2
May 5, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Eltersdorf vs Amberg
2:1
Oct 8, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Amberg vs Eltersdorf
1:0
Apr 30, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Eltersdorf vs Amberg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltersdorf 95 / 100
Amberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eltersdorf Amberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eltersdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amberg has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Amberg has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Eltersdorf scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eltersdorf VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eltersdorf

(Home)
02 Oct
Buchbach
0 : 2
Eltersdorf
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Ansbach
3 : 2
Eltersdorf
15 Sept
Eltersdorf
0 : 2
Vfb Eichstatt
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
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Amberg

(Away)
18 May
Amberg
1 : 7
Jahn Forchheim
12 May
Gebenbach
5 : 2
Amberg
05 May
Ansbach
4 : 1
Amberg
28 Apr
Amberg
0 : 1
Weiden
25 Apr
Amberg
2 : 3
1. FC Schweinfurt II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aschaffenburg 34 26 4 4 91:29 82
2 TSV Aubstadt 34 22 4 8 71:33 70
3 Wurzburger FV 34 19 10 5 71:36 67
4 Eltersdorf 34 17 13 4 65:44 64
5 Gebenbach 34 20 4 10 76:51 64
6 Jahn Forchheim 34 16 6 12 78:67 54
7 Ansbach 34 15 8 11 74:61 53
8 Grossbardorf 34 14 9 11 51:47 51
9 Erlangen 34 12 8 14 53:75 44
10 Bayern Hof 34 12 7 15 61:59 43
11 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 11 9 14 47:49 42
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 8 15 65:67 41
13 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 11 7 16 44:50 40
14 Weiden 34 11 7 16 51:77 40
15 1. FC Sand 34 7 9 18 39:57 30
16 1. FC Schweinfurt II 34 7 9 18 33:54 30
17 Erlenbach 34 6 5 23 43:94 23
18 Amberg 34 4 3 27 37:100 15
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Relegation)