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Eltersdorf vs Burghausen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eltersdorf host Burghausen in the Regionalliga Bayern. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Eltersdorf have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Burghausen's 1.62 scored and 1.62 conceded. Head-to-head, Eltersdorf have won 0 to Burghausen's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2022, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.06 - 2.13) back Eltersdorf to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Eltersdorf
15%
Draws
46%
Burghausen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burghausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eltersdorf lately — more wins on the board than Burghausen.
  • Model gives Burghausen a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 10%
Burghausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eltersdorf Burghausen
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Regionalliga Bayern
Burghausen vs Eltersdorf
3:0
Sep 24, 2021 Regionalliga Bayern
Eltersdorf vs Burghausen
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltersdorf 18 / 100
Burghausen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eltersdorf Burghausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burghausen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Eltersdorf's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Burghausen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Eltersdorf stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eltersdorf VS Burghausen
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Eltersdorf

(Home)
02 Oct
Buchbach
0 : 2
Eltersdorf
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Ansbach
3 : 2
Eltersdorf
15 Sept
Eltersdorf
0 : 2
Vfb Eichstatt
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
Page 1 of 6

Burghausen

(Away)
03 Oct
Vfb Eichstatt
1 : 0
Burghausen
26 Sept
Burghausen
3 : 1
Munich 1860
19 Sept
Burghausen
5 : 2
Augsburg II
15 Sept
Memmingen
0 : 0
Burghausen
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2
Landsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
4 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
5 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
10 Bayern II 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)