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Eltersdorf vs Vach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019
Eltersdorf Logo

Eltersdorf

1 - 3
FT
Vach Logo

Vach

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vach in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Eltersdorf
35%
Draws
20%
Vach
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Eltersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Eltersdorf have won more games recently than Vach.
  • Win probability leans Eltersdorf's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Eltersdorf Clean Sheet 20%
Vach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eltersdorf Vach
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 11 2
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.39 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Eltersdorf vs Vach
1:3
Sep 22, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Vach vs Eltersdorf
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eltersdorf 85 / 100
Vach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eltersdorf Vach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eltersdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vach let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Eltersdorf has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Eltersdorf scored in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eltersdorf VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eltersdorf

(Home)
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
29 Aug
Augsburg II
3 : 3
Eltersdorf
21 Aug
Eltersdorf
3 : 2
Furth II
14 Aug
Eltersdorf
1 : 1
Nurnberg II
08 Aug
Unterhaching
0 : 0
Eltersdorf
Page 1 of 8

Vach

(Away)
18 May
ATSV Erlangen
4 : 1
Vach
11 May
Vach
1 : 2
Bayern Hof
04 May
Wurzburger FV
3 : 3
Vach
28 Apr
Vach
0 : 3
Gebenbach
22 Apr
Ansbach
1 : 3
Vach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TSV Aubstadt 34 24 4 6 83:27 76
2 Gebenbach 34 22 7 5 83:42 73
3 Wurzburger FV 34 20 6 8 67:39 66
4 Grossbardorf 34 20 5 9 67:39 65
5 SV Seligenporten 34 18 8 8 69:50 62
6 Eltersdorf 34 15 8 11 56:45 53
7 Bayern Hof 34 14 7 13 54:45 49
8 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 14 6 14 44:39 48
9 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 14 6 14 60:69 48
10 Abtswind 34 13 6 15 59:67 45
11 Ansbach 34 11 10 13 68:77 43
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 6 17 51:52 39
13 ATSV Erlangen 34 11 6 17 43:60 39
14 1. FC Sand 34 10 5 19 42:66 35
15 Vach 34 10 3 21 45:76 33
16 Erlangen 34 9 4 21 53:74 31
17 Jahn Forchheim 34 8 6 20 58:86 30
18 ASV Neumarkt 34 7 7 20 35:84 28
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2019/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2018/2019 (Relegation)