Sport Picks
Eltham Redbacks vs Northcote City
Australia
Victoria Premier League 
Match Events
22'
22'
Larson D.
90'
90'
Foryabee T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Victoria Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northcote City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Northcote City lately — more wins on the board than Eltham Redbacks.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Eltham Redbacks Clean Sheet 16%
Northcote City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eltham Redbacks | Northcote City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.15 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Northcote City vs Eltham Redbacks
1:0
Apr 24, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Eltham Redbacks vs Northcote City
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eltham Redbacks Compare
Top Goalscorer Foryabee T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Northcote City Compare
Top Goalscorer Larson D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eltham Redbacks 30 / 100
Northcote City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eltham Redbacks Northcote City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Eltham Redbacks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Eltham Redbacks scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Northcote City has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Eltham Redbacks has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Eltham Redbacks VS Northcote City
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Eltham Redbacks
(Home) 11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0 Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2 Melbourne Knights
22 Aug
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2 Eltham Redbacks
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0 Manningham United Blues
31 Jul
Northcote City
1 : 0 Eltham Redbacks
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
2 : 2 Melbourne Knights
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0 Manningham United Blues
24 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
0 : 2 Melbourne Srbija
11 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 1 North Geelong Warriors
19 Jun
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 4 Western United U21
Page 1 of 3
Northcote City
(Away) 19 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
1 : 2 Northcote City
11 Sept
Northcote City
3 : 2 Bulleen
30 Aug
Bulleen
3 : 1 Northcote City
21 Aug
Northcote City
1 : 2 Brunswick Juventus
17 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
0 : 1 Northcote City
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
1 : 2 Northcote City
30 Aug
Bulleen
3 : 1 Northcote City
17 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
0 : 1 Northcote City
25 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Northcote City
20 Jun
North Sunshine Eagles
0 : 2 Northcote City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 43:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 42:26 | 47 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory U21 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 55:32 | 43 |
| 4 | Northcote City | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 38:27 | 43 |
| 5 | Bulleen | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 44:30 | 42 |
| 6 | Eltham Redbacks | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 53:37 | 36 |
| 7 | Melbourne Srbija | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 32:48 | 30 |
| 9 | North Geelong Warriors | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 40:49 | 27 |
| 11 | Langwarrin | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 40:52 | 24 |
| 12 | North Sunshine Eagles | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | 20 |
| 13 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12:55 | 16 |
| 14 | Western United U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)
