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Elva vs FK Smiltene

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Elva and FK Smiltene finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elva
6%
Draws
4%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Smiltene haven't matched Elva's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Elva a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Elva Clean Sheet 17%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva FK Smiltene
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Elva vs FK Smiltene
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 84 / 100
FK Smiltene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva FK Smiltene

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elva scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

FK Smiltene has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Elva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS FK Smiltene
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%