Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Elva host Kalju U21 in the Esiliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Elva at 1.93 goals for, 1.36 against; Kalju U21 at 1.45 for, 2.55 against. Head-to-head, Elva have won 1 to Kalju U21's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (2.81 - 0.69) back Elva to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kalju U21 haven't matched Elva's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Elva taking it.
- Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Elva | Kalju U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 2.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.81 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elva found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Kalju U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Kalju U21 lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Elva
(Home)Kalju U21
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 70:33 | 51 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 42:22 | 41 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 55:41 | 37 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42:37 | 37 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 47:42 | 35 |
| 6 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36:51 | 32 |
| 7 | Levadia U21 | 24 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 45:47 | 31 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd U21 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 42:52 | 27 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 30:52 | 25 |
| 10 | Kalju U21 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 31:63 | 19 |
