Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elva vs Kalju U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Nike Arena, Elva
Elva Logo

Elva

1 - 0
FT
Kalju U21 Logo

Kalju U21

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Alev P.
Assist: Haabma K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Elva and Kalju U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Elva
15%
Draws
20%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Kalju U21 haven't matched Elva's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Elva taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Elva Clean Sheet 20%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Kalju U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.76 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Kalju U21
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Elva
2:2
May 2, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Kalju U21
2:4
Oct 4, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Kalju U21
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Elva
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Alev P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kalju U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 85 / 100
Kalju U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kalju U21 conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Elva's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Elva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS Kalju U21
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
25% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

Kalju U21

(Away)
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 31 20 5 6 81:39 65
2 Viimsi JK 31 16 5 10 56:31 53
3 Flora Tallinn U21 31 15 6 10 72:53 51
4 Elva 31 15 6 10 47:44 51
5 Levadia U21 30 14 2 14 60:55 44
6 Tallinna Kalev 30 11 7 12 52:55 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 31 11 6 14 50:62 39
8 FC Tallinn 30 8 8 14 39:63 32
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)