Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Elva vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kolesnitsenko K.
27'
Sojunen A.
35'
Harm H.

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Estonian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elva
6%
Draws
4%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elva have won more games recently than Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II.
  • Elva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Elva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Elva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Elva Clean Sheet 20%
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 0
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2020 Estonian Cup
Elva vs Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolesnitsenko K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maidla V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II Compare

Top Goalscorer Salmus A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 85 / 100
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Elva remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II let in goals in 71% of their last 7 matches.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
16 Jul
Viimsi JK
1 : 3
Elva
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Elva
05 Jul
Kalju U21
2 : 2
Elva
30 Jun
Jarva-Jaani
0 : 4
Elva
Page 1 of 6

Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II

(Away)
10 Mar
Elva
3 : 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
25 Sept
ReUnited
1 : 2
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
11 Sept
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev III
06 Aug
Puhkus Mehhikos
0 : 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
19 Jun
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
:
JK 32. keskkool
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Elva3
SK EPMU Tartu0
TBD-
Viimsi Lovid-
JK Jalgpallihaigla-
TBD-
TBD-
Tarvastu-
Tabasalu-
TBD-
TransferWise1
Lelle2
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U21-
ReUnited-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Flora U1910
JK Poseidon II0
TBD-
Molycorp Silmet-
Tallinna Kalev III4
Tammeka Tartu IV0
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
Puhkus Mehhikos-
TBD-
JK 32. keskkool-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II-
Tulevik-
Kadrina SK Moe-
Viimsi JK 21
Igiliikur2
Vastseliina Tannem3
Soccernet1
Mulgi0
Tallinna Wolves1
Legion II3
Tallinn Piraaja1
TBD-
Aksi Wolves-
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
FCI Tallinn1
Tammeka Tartu8
Paide Linnameeskond9
Olympic Tallinn1
TBD-
Kristiine-
Teleios-
TBD-
Viking0
Pohja-Tallinna18
Maardu Linnameeskond12
Valga Warrior0
TBD-
Elbato-
Kohtla-Nomme-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora-
Helm-
TBD-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio-
Zenit Tallinn3
Tallinna FC Zapoos0
TBD-
Levadia-
Paide Linnameeskond II13
Mauruse Saurused2
TBD-
Kose-
Keila JK-
TBD-
TBD-
Kalju-
Kuressaare-
TBD-
Maksatransport1
Kadakas3
Legion-
TBD-
Maardu Aliens-
Narva-
Eston Villa II-
TBD-
TBD-
Loo JK-
Parnu Sadam5
Kohila0
Jogeva2
Otepaa4
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool-
TBD-
Metsis0
Eston Villa15
Marjamaa Kompanii6
FC Sssolutions2
TBD-
Anija-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve3
Rakvere0
TBD-
Voru Helios-
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Hell Hunt-
Helios5
Rumori Calcio II1
Parnu-Jaagupi2
Pohja-Sakala5
Viimsi JK-
TBD-
TBD-
Raplamaa-
Jogeva Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna 2-
1/32-finals
Elva7
Viimsi Lovid0
JK Jalgpallihaigla2
Tarvastu7
Tabasalu1
Lelle0
Laanemaa Haapsalu1
Flora Tallinn U215
ReUnited5
JK Poseidon1
Flora U192
Molycorp Silmet5
Tallinna Kalev III3
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Puhkus Mehhikos0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II6
Tulevik7
Igiliikur1
Vastseliina Tannem1
Tallinna Wolves5
Legion II9
Aksi Wolves0
Nomme Utd1
Tammeka Tartu3
Paide Linnameeskond10
Kristiine0
Teleios2
Pohja-Tallinna4
Maardu Linnameeskond3
Elbato0
Kohtla-Nomme0
Flora12
Helm3
Rumori Calcio2
Zenit Tallinn0
Levadia7
Paide Linnameeskond II5
Kose0
Keila JK0
Kalju2
Kuressaare12
Kadakas1
Legion0
Narva7
Eston Villa II1
Loo JK0
Parnu Sadam1
Otepaa2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool3
Eston Villa2
Marjamaa Kompanii1
Anija2
Tartu JK Welco10
Jarva-Jaani1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve0
Voru Helios1
Tallinna Kalev1
FC Hell Hunt0
Helios1
Pohja-Sakala5
Viimsi JK2
Raplamaa0
Jogeva Wolves0
Pohja-Tallinna 26
1/16-finals
Elva4
Tarvastu1
Tabasalu2
Flora Tallinn U211
ReUnited5
Molycorp Silmet2
Tallinna Kalev III1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II2
Tulevik11
Tallinna Wolves0
Legion II0
Tammeka Tartu1
Paide Linnameeskond13
Pohja-Tallinna0
Maardu Linnameeskond0
Flora7
Helm1
Levadia21
Paide Linnameeskond II0
Kalju3
Kuressaare1
Narva3
Eston Villa II3
Otepaa0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool3
Anija0
Tartu JK Welco1
Voru Helios2
Tallinna Kalev3
Pohja-Sakala0
Viimsi JK0
Pohja-Tallinna 22
1/8-finals
Elva2
Tabasalu0
ReUnited1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II2
Tulevik0
Tammeka Tartu1
Paide Linnameeskond1
Flora3
Levadia1
Kalju2
Narva21
Eston Villa II0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool0
Voru Helios1
Tallinna Kalev7
Pohja-Tallinna 20
Quarter-finals
Elva3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II1
Tammeka Tartu0
Flora3
Kalju1
Narva2
Voru Helios0
Tallinna Kalev6
Semi-finals
Elva2
Flora4
Narva4
Tallinna Kalev1
Final
Flora2
Narva1