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Elva vs Lelle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2005
Elva Logo

Elva

3 - 0
FT
Lelle Logo

Lelle

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Esiliiga 2005 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Elva
15%
Draws
20%
Lelle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Elva have won more games recently than Lelle.
  • Model gives Elva a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Elva Clean Sheet 20%
Lelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Lelle
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 0
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.42 4.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2008 Estonian Cup
Lelle vs Elva
1:6
Oct 22, 2005 Esiliiga
Lelle vs Elva
2:1
Aug 6, 2005 Esiliiga
Elva vs Lelle
3:0
Jun 18, 2005 Esiliiga
Lelle vs Elva
2:1
Mar 19, 2005 Esiliiga
Elva vs Lelle
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 85 / 100
Lelle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Lelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lelle has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Elva scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Elva stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
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Lelle

(Away)
20 Jul
Tulevik
26 : 0
Lelle
02 Sept
Pohja-Sakala
6 : 1
Lelle
07 Aug
Lelle
0 : 1
Tabasalu
20 Jun
Lelle
2 : 1
TransferWise
18 Jul
Tabasalu
6 : 0
Lelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parnu Linnameeskond 36 26 6 4 92:39 84
2 Levadia U21 36 26 4 6 104:31 82
3 Lasnamae 36 23 8 5 111:30 77
4 Tallinna Kalev 36 18 9 9 85:71 63
5 Tervis Parnu 36 14 9 13 73:53 51
6 TVMK Tallinn II 36 12 5 19 51:80 41
7 Elva 36 10 6 20 42:71 36
8 Lelle 36 11 1 24 49:100 34
9 JK Jalgpallihaigla 36 9 4 23 38:100 31
10 Merkuur-Juunior 36 2 6 28 27:97 12
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2006 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2005 (Relegation)