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Elva vs Tartu Valk

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2007
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2007 game between Elva and Tartu Valk finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tartu Valk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Elva
6%
Draws
4%
Tartu Valk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elva come out ahead of Tartu Valk on wins alone.
  • Elva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tartu Valk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Elva Clean Sheet 15%
Tartu Valk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Tartu Valk
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2007 Esiliiga
Tartu Valk vs Elva
10:1
Jul 22, 2007 Esiliiga
Elva vs Tartu Valk
0:1
May 13, 2007 Esiliiga
Tartu Valk vs Elva
3:2
Apr 25, 2007 Esiliiga
Elva vs Tartu Valk
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 84 / 100
Tartu Valk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Tartu Valk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (39 games).

Tartu Valk has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Elva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
16 Jul
Viimsi JK
1 : 3
Elva
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Elva
05 Jul
Kalju U21
2 : 2
Elva
30 Jun
Jarva-Jaani
0 : 4
Elva
22 Jun
Elva
0 : 3
Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 8

Tartu Valk

(Away)
11 Nov
Tammeka Tartu U21
1 : 2
Tartu Valk
04 Nov
Tartu Valk
10 : 1
Elva
28 Oct
TVMK Tallinn II
4 : 2
Tartu Valk
24 Oct
Levadia U21
5 : 0
Tartu Valk
21 Oct
Tartu Valk
2 : 2
Tulevik Viljandi II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia U2136275495:2086
2Flora II36246697:3378
3Sillamae Kalev36209767:4069
4Tammeka Tartu U213614111151:3953
5TVMK Tallinn II361581381:6853
6Kalju361391469:6948
7Valga Warrior361351872:7344
8Tulevik Viljandi II36972037:8434
9Tartu Valk36782149:9329
10Elva36323117:11611
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2008 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2007 (Relegation)