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Elva vs Viimsi JK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Tehvandi Staadion, Otepää
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Match Events

43' Event
Krimm N.

AI Match Summary

Viimsi JK in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viimsi JK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Elva
15%
Draws
32%
Viimsi JK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Viimsi JK lately — more wins on the board than Elva.
  • Model gives Elva a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Elva Clean Sheet 13%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva Viimsi JK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.76 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Elva
5:0
Jul 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Elva
1:3
Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Viimsi JK
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Viimsi JK
1:0
Sep 22, 2025 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Elva
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Viimsi JK Compare

Top Goalscorer Krimm N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva 35 / 100
Viimsi JK 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva Viimsi JK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Viimsi JK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Elva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva VS Viimsi JK
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
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Viimsi JK

(Away)
15 Oct
Viimsi JK
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 31 20 5 6 81:39 65
2 Viimsi JK 31 16 5 10 56:31 53
3 Flora Tallinn U21 31 15 6 10 72:53 51
4 Elva 31 15 6 10 47:44 51
5 Levadia U21 30 14 2 14 60:55 44
6 Tallinna Kalev 30 11 7 12 52:55 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 31 11 6 14 50:62 39
8 FC Tallinn 30 8 8 14 39:63 32
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)