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Elva W vs FC Ararat W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Nike Arena, Elva
Wed, Sep 17, 2025
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elva W host FC Ararat W in the Meistriliiga Women 2025. FC Ararat W are expected to control this from the start. FC Ararat W have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Elva W have conceded 4 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Elva W have won 1 to FC Ararat W's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 2.50) back FC Ararat W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Elva W
6%
Draws
90%
FC Ararat W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ararat W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Ararat W come out ahead of Elva W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Ararat W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ararat W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva W FC Ararat W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 4 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Elva W
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
0:4
Nov 23, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Elva W
0:2
Nov 1, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs FC Ararat W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva W 10 / 100
FC Ararat W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva W FC Ararat W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: FC Ararat W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Ararat W let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Elva W scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Elva W VS FC Ararat W
1.88 Goals Scored 0
4 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva W

(Home)
01 Aug
Elva W
2 : 8
Saku Sporting W
26 Jul
Viimsi JK W
5 : 3
Elva W
18 Jul
Harju JK Laagri W
6 : 2
Elva W
20 Jun
Elva W
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond W
30 May
Elva W
3 : 2
Viimsi JK W
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FC Ararat W

(Away)
04 Oct
Tabasalu W
:
FC Ararat W
20 Sept
FC Ararat W
:
Tammeka Tartu W
17 Sept
Elva W
:
FC Ararat W
13 Sept
Saku Sporting W
:
FC Ararat W
10 Sept
Flora W
:
FC Ararat W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)