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Elva W vs Saku Sporting W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Juksar A.
50' Event
Daut G.
66' Event
Liik V.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women game between Elva W and Saku Sporting W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saku Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Elva W
15%
Draws
76%
Saku Sporting W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saku Sporting W come out ahead of Elva W on wins alone.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Saku Sporting W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Saku Sporting W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%
Saku Sporting W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva W Saku Sporting W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 3 2
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1.4 2.7
Goals Conceded 4.13 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:1
Aug 23, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
1:4
Aug 1, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Saku Sporting W
2:8
Mar 21, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
2:2
Oct 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Elva W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudsi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Saku Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Juksar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daut G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.12

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva W 10 / 100
Saku Sporting W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva W Saku Sporting W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saku Sporting W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saku Sporting W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Elva W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Elva W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elva W VS Saku Sporting W
1.25 Goals Scored 3.38
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva W

(Home)
03 Oct
Viimsi JK W
3 : 3
Elva W
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 6

Saku Sporting W

(Away)
03 Oct
Saku Sporting W
3 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond W
26 Sept
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
19 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
4 : 2
Saku Sporting W
12 Sept
Viimsi JK W
0 : 4
Saku Sporting W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 21 14 3 4 66:24 45
2 Paide Linnameeskond W 21 14 0 7 63:34 42
3 Saku Sporting W 21 11 2 8 55:47 35
4 Viimsi JK W 21 10 4 7 47:35 34
5 Harju JK Laagri W 21 4 3 14 31:61 15
6 Elva W 21 3 2 16 29:90 11
Relegation - Meistriliiga Women (Relegation)