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Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Nike Arena, Elva
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Hudsi K.
56' Event
Hudsi K.
61'
Sub
Mugu K. In: Erik C.
Out: Mugu K.

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu W in this Meistriliiga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tammeka Tartu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Elva W
22%
Draws
18%
Tammeka Tartu W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Elva W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Elva W lately — more wins on the board than Tammeka Tartu W.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Elva W taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%
Tammeka Tartu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elva W Tammeka Tartu W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0.8
Goals Conceded 3.75 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 4.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W
1:2
Jun 5, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tammeka Tartu W
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tammeka Tartu W vs Elva W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudsi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tammeka Tartu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erik C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elva W 56 / 100
Tammeka Tartu W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elva W Tammeka Tartu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tammeka Tartu W conceded in 100% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Tammeka Tartu W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Elva W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Elva W VS Tammeka Tartu W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.8
3.75 Goals Conceded 4.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Elva W

(Home)
26 Jul
Viimsi JK W
5 : 3
Elva W
18 Jul
Harju JK Laagri W
6 : 2
Elva W
20 Jun
Elva W
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond W
30 May
Elva W
3 : 2
Viimsi JK W
16 May
Flora W
7 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 7

Tammeka Tartu W

(Away)
15 Nov
Viimsi JK W
3 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
08 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
2 : 1
Elva W
01 Nov
Tammeka Tartu W
0 : 8
Flora W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
14 Oct
Saku Sporting W
5 : 0
Tammeka Tartu W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)