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Elversberg vs Freiburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elversberg host Freiburg in the Bundesliga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Elversberg have averaged 2.21 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Freiburg's 2.06 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Elversberg have won 0 to Freiburg's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 2, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.94) back Freiburg to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Elversberg
15%
Draws
51%
Freiburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Freiburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Freiburg have won more games recently than Elversberg.
  • Model gives Elversberg a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elversberg Freiburg
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.21 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Freiburg vs Elversberg
0:0
Aug 1, 2009 DFB Pokal
Elversberg vs Freiburg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elversberg 34 / 100
Freiburg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elversberg Freiburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Elversberg scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Freiburg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Elversberg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Elversberg VS Freiburg
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Elversberg

(Home)
30 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 1
Mainz
27 Oct
Elversberg
0 : 2
Darmstadt
24 Oct
RB Leipzig
4 : 0
Elversberg
17 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 3
Augsburg
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0
Elversberg
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Freiburg

(Away)
05 Nov
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Freiburg
31 Oct
Augsburg
1 : 2
Freiburg
28 Oct
Freiburg
3 : 2
Wolfsburg
25 Oct
Freiburg
1 : 3
Bayern Munich
22 Oct
Monaco
3 : 0
Freiburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 5 3 0 27:8 18
2 Dortmund 8 5 3 0 14:6 18
3 Freiburg 8 5 1 2 18:10 16
4 RB Leipzig 8 5 0 3 22:11 15
5 Werder Bremen 8 4 3 1 17:14 15
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 18:16 13
7 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
9 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
10 Augsburg 8 2 3 3 18:15 9
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 3 0 5 14:15 9
12 Hoffenheim 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
13 1. FC Koln 8 2 3 3 9:12 9
14 Paderborn 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
15 Hamburger 8 3 0 5 7:19 9
16 Union Berlin 8 1 4 3 7:19 7
17 Schalke 8 1 3 4 4:9 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 8 1 1 6 11:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)