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Elversberg vs Lorient

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Poreba L.
32' Event
Kone M.
47' Event
Darvich N.

AI Match Summary

Elversberg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elversberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Elversberg
30%
Draws
23%
Lorient
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elversberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg have won more games recently than Lorient.
  • Elversberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 17%
Lorient Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elversberg Lorient
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.17 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Elversberg vs Lorient
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elversberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Poreba L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Darvich N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lorient Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elversberg 84 / 100
Lorient 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elversberg Lorient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elversberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elversberg found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Lorient has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Elversberg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Elversberg VS Lorient
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Elversberg

(Home)
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Elversberg
13 Sept
Elversberg
1 : 2
Bayern Munich
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
29 Aug
Elversberg
3 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Aug
Duisburg
1 : 3
Elversberg
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Lorient

(Away)
19 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
12 Sept
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
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