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Elverum vs Lillehammer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Solum M.
11' Event
Nygard M.
18' Event
Bakar A.

AI Match Summary

Elverum in this Division 3 - Group 6 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Elverum
15%
Draws
57%
Lillehammer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillehammer have won more games recently than Elverum.
  • Model gives Lillehammer a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Elverum Clean Sheet 10%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Elverum Lillehammer
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.62 3.34
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Lillehammer
4:3
Jun 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillehammer vs Elverum
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Elverum vs Lillehammer
3:0
Jun 15, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillehammer vs Elverum
1:5
Oct 23, 2022 Division 3 - Group 2
Elverum vs Lillehammer
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Solum M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Enkerud J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Lillehammer Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygard M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Elverum 10 / 100
Lillehammer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Elverum Lillehammer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillehammer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elverum found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Lillehammer has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Elverum remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Elverum VS Lillehammer
2.88 Goals Scored 3.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Elverum

(Home)
03 Oct
Elverum
5 : 0
Bjorkelangen
26 Sept
Sandefjord 2
4 : 3
Elverum
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
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Lillehammer

(Away)
03 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Oppsal
26 Sept
Rade
1 : 5
Lillehammer
19 Sept
Lillehammer
7 : 1
Bjorkelangen
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
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